People ask if I've heard the latest thing Donald Trump has said, and my sincere response is, who gives a shit? Not the person who said it, so why should the one who read it? They say whatever they want to say, and change it the next day. We're supposed to hang on every word, like links on a chain. I just don't anymore, and neither do the people they're negotiating with. Unlike and smash unsubscribe.

China, Russia, Iran

China are serious people. When Trump tried to go tit-for-tat they just gave him one slap and left it at that. China raised tariffs once and said, “if the United States continues to impose tariffs on Chinese exports to the United States, China will ignore it.” They diplomatically dropped the microphone, and haven't returned Trump's phone calls asking for a phone call since. China said, “Even if the United States continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer have economic significance and will become a joke in the history of the world economy.” This unusually salty talk from usually staid diplomats. That's how done they are with this bullshit. China produces rare earths while America produces brain farts, who do you think is winning a trade war? The people that trade or the people that tirade? Pick your fighter.

Russia are also serious people. When Trump tried to end a war that started over a decade ago in 24 hours they just didn't, because they're winning on their own terms. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said, “We take the Americans’ proposed models and solutions very seriously, but we also cannot accept them as is… Russia cannot accept U.S. proposals to end the war in Ukraine in their current form because they do not solve the problems Moscow considers the cause of the conflict.” Talks go on, but the fighting goes on'er, and Ukraine's a goner the longer it goes on like this. Trump is publicly grumping and dumping Ukraine, throwing a monkey wrench into any leverage (we'll get to this). Again, who do you think will win a hot war? The reincarnated Red Army or the deindustrialized West, who can print all the money in the world, but can't buy a clue?

Iran are also serious people. They have serious missiles that can incinerate America's Persian Gulf bases without nukes, by the American military's own admission. America is trying to run their Path To Persia war plan from 2009, which is just nuking the old WMD lie in the media microwave and hope nobody notices. Since we first saw WMD I ago, Iran has advanced everything but the nuke, and proved it in True Promise I, II, and III. Even what passes for serious minds within the Pentagon know that war with Iran would mean losing oil, bases, and just losing, as much as 'Israel' tries to mind control them.

Iran is ready to defend itself, whatever the cost, and simply do not accept Trump as boss of anything except pulling Netanyahu's chair out. Ayatollah Khamenei is an old hand and knows that the Americans are not to be trusted, leaving nothing but broken treaties behind them (just ask the Actual Americans). Khamenei said, “One must not negotiate with a government like the US government,” and though the steadfast President Raisi is gone, the Iranians are still not morons. Who do you think will win a Holy War over their own holy land? Those reduced to bombing refugee camps and hospitals, or those defending them?

All of these countries are serious people with serious capabilities that America just ignores because they're thousands of kilometers from their home and have no skin in the game. America uses proxies like prophylactics and throws them in the historical dustbin. The great innovation of America as head of White Empire is figuring out that there's more money in losing wars than winning them. As Vladimir Putin said, “For centuries they have nurtured a habit of feasting on flesh and filling their pockets with money. But they must realize that the 'vampire's ball' has come to an end.”

(China, Russia, Iran)

The traditional imperial, vampirical strategy is divide and conquer, and tactically it's still working. They have pit Chinese vs. Chinese in Taiwan, Slav vs. Slav in Ukraine, and Semite vs Semite in Palestine. These tactics might work in isolation, but in combination, it leads to strategic defeat. As former Secretary of State Zbigniew Brzezinski wrote in 1997, “Potentially, the most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Russia, and perhaps Iran, an “antihegemonic” coalition united not by ideology but by complementary grievances.” An already old Joe Biden mocked this at the time, but who's laughing now? The nations they used to bully have bulked up, and they're pretty fucking aggrieved.

Today China, Russia, and Iran have superior military technology than America (quantity is its own quantity), especially given home field advantage (defender wins a tie). Combined they're unbeatable, though they haven't Voltroned yet. But get them angry enough and we'll see.

Each of these countries have hypersonic missiles that air defenses cannot stop while America throws avionic fits against defenceless children. Against men in the field, drones in the air, and missiles in the sky, America loses. This is proven. Yemen has got them on the ropes, and Iran, Russia, and China are each an order of magnitude stronger than the one before them. It's 10x, 100x, 1000x difficulty, and America can't get past round one. This goes unheralded but it's historic. Brave Yemen has defeated the top naval empire ever in the Red Sea. They are truly Top-Gs, fighting genocide for the side, Allah surely is pleased.

Home field advantage is huge in warfare. How you fare is very much where you are. In Risk, defender wins a tie because defending is mathematically easier. Remember that Iran, Russia, and China don't have to be stronger than America overall, they just have to be stronger than America in Iran, Russia, and China. Meanwhile America has to be stronger everywhere. America also has to divide (and supply) its forces across two oceans and a sea. And they already lost control of the sea!

Remember that China, Russia, and Iran are defending their own soil, while America offends only the conscience and soils themselves in public. America can destroy hospitals but not Hamas, Ukraine but not Russia, and civilians but not Ansarallah. Remember that Hamas, underneath a concentration camp, has fought the entire White Empire to a draw. This is a historic moment, buried by the histrionics media, but nonetheless true. Hamas defeated 'Israel' on October 7th. The non-entity has been on death support ever since. The IOF have been reduced to delivery boys for American bombs, like DoorDash for knocking houses down.

Deep grievances have thrown deep civilizations together and America is in deep kimchi, as John Mearsheimer says (I don't understand what this means). Now China, Russia, and Iran are conducting military exercises together while America is bent out of shape fighting them all at once. To compare World War III to World War II, China is in the position of America (profiting from afar), Russia is the position of the USSR (fighting the actual war), Iran doesn't fit this analogy, and America are the fucking Nazis—fighting everyone, and wasting time on genocide for some reason. The common wisdom is never start a land war in Asia, and America has started three. As Joe Biden said, which I also don't understand (old white man slang), ‘good luck in your Senior year.’

Leverage

Trump talks about leverage like it's a beverage, something he can summon with a button to the Oval Office desk, like a Diet Coke. You can see why the guy is cooked. American leverage is more like Trump's arteries, clogged by years of bad decisions.

Archimedes said give me a lever big enough, and I'll open this pickle urn (he was talking to his wife). The point of a lever is leverage, you have to have more on your side of the stick than the other side. Zelensky wasn't dick the moment he cancelled elections, but Trump has cancelled the petty dictator in public. Trump threw away the toy soldier, mocking him for not wearing a suit. But that was his empty suit, now Trump can't even pretend to like the guy. He threw away his leverage. He did worse when he cut off intelligence and weapons, however briefly. He blinked before negotiations even started and conceded immediately.

It's not even clear that Trump has read The Art Of The Deal, but its writer Tony Schwartz said, “The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you’re dead. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have. Leverage is having something the other guy wants. Or better yet, needs. Or best of all, simply can’t do without.” Does Trump listen to advice, even his own? No, but he never stops talking shit.

Trump promised America a Ukraine deal in 24 hours, reducing his leverage to a ledge which he promptly walked off, like Wile-E Coyote followed by an anvil. The Pottery Barn Rule is ‘you broke it, you bought it’ and Trump's owns the Ukraine War now. It's a loser and he knows it. The longer Russia waits, the worse Ukraine's position gets, and Trump obviously can't wait to be done with them. This makes him desperate, which is the opposite of leverage. Trump can't get Ukraine or Europe to agree on a deal, nevermind the Russians. He has no leverage and people just aren't listening to him.

Trump is not a serious person, he sent a fucking Real Estate agent to negotiate World War III. That's all Steve Witkoff is, a random real estate guy, made Trump's personal envoy. Yet even this dilettante can understand, you don't get détente by shitting on the house you're listing. Like, this is a real fixer-upper, half-occupied by a neo-Nazi gang I gave a lot of guns to, and I cut the lights off periodically. $1 trillion dollars. This is “a joke in the history of the world” as China said. Possession is nine-tenths of the law, and Russia is just ignoring America and taking possession of more oblasts. “Ob-la-di, ob-la-da, Life goes on, brah” as the Ja-fake-en Beatles said. Or as Notorious BIG said, “real niggas do real things.”

In the same way, what leverage does Trump have against China? China has been slowly been building a Belt and Road around America for over a decade, becoming the world's top trading partner by cooperation, not coercion. Feeling jealous, the American economy tried killing itself for attention and experienced every suicide attemptors worst nightmare. Everybody actually does hate them.

Investors don't actually care if a policy is good or evil, they'll incinerate children to gas their yacht up. They don't even care if policy impoverishes their own people, they're not people, just capital personified. Investors just care if a policy is predictable, and Trump is a very unstable genius. Everyone was having a great time at the USD Casino, built on an Indian graveyard, but trust Donald Trump to bankrupt a casino. They said it wasn't possible, but he did it.

Archimedes real quote was, “Give me a place to stand and with a lever I will move the whole world,” and America has lost all faith and standing. To stand with Trump is to stand on shifting sands, upon shifting continents, depending on a deeply shifty character who's sifting through your pockets and sniffing your daughter. Besides lack of leverage, Trump doesn't have a stable fulcrum. He's always going off half-cocked, and changes his mind constantly, depending on who's next to him. Even if you wanted to negotiate with Trump, which Trump? What side of the bed did he wake up on? How were his bowel movements?

The fulcrum that leverage stands upon is trust—do words mean anything and do signatures matter—and Trump has rolled that up and smoked it like a blunt. How many documents and treaties has he wiped his ass with, like every Non-Native American before him? Presidents before him threw out the Minsk Accords, none of them took Oslo seriously, and America itself is unceded land, Trump has thrown out the Iran deal and now the WTO and WHO and whatever other acronyms he could think of. America has no diplomatic standing left, just grandstanding.

The Mississippi Delta

Today, the delta between American words and deeds is so wide that it might as well be the Mississippi River. And this isn't just Trump. Democrats and Republicans are just the good-cop/bad-cop of the same police state. Always remember that Biden deported more than Trump, killed more than Trump in Gaza, and killed more of his own people with COVID.

Liberals would love to be Biden time, feeling fine while doing crime, but I'm done with both sides of the lying mouth. Trump at least accelerates American decline, which is a blessing in disguise. The sooner America goes down the better,

America is not bipartisan so much as bipolar, and the multipolar world is increasingly done with them. Even nations nuclear bound to America can't negotiate with Trump, he's just too disorganized and dumb.

I know people would like to isolate the problem to Trump, but America itself is isolated and problematic. They're up shit creek without a paddle and all the babbling in the world won't bail them out. As Teddy Roosevelt said, back when US Presidents killed what they ate, talk softly and carry a big stick. America today talks loudly and carries a limp dick. The POTUS is impotent. He can only bomb hospitals while the Empire itself is on hospice. He can only hype meme coins as the master currency collapses. He can only pretend to negotiate while collapse is nonnegotiable. It is, in fact, safe to ignore what America says, as enraging as it is. The greatest American asset crash is this. Talk is cheap.