In Ze 'Americans' words, the ceasefire has temporarily ceased, whatever that means, from people that lie easier than they sleep. 'America' was violating from day one, 'America' is a treaty violation, the false come true. If those 40 Days were Iran War I, these daze it's Iran War II.

History seems to be repeating in tighter and tighter loops as the White Empire (entire) goes down the tubes. Whereas George Bush had to respawn to attack Iraq again, Trump does not require Trump Jr to attack Iran again, he's just doing it. But the historical conditions couldn't be more different. Between Iraq I and II, Iraq was made weaker and 'America' was made stronger. But precisely the opposite has happened in the brief MOUment between attacks on Iran.

Now it's 'America's' economy that's running on fumes and fraud while Iran's is running on improved oil exports and mashallah. As Trump said, "we run out of reserves in about four weeks, there would be a time when you wouldn't be able to get it, and you wanna see bedlam." Yes I do, actually, I wanna put this Empire to bed now. This is not to say Iran's economy is good, it's not, but Iranians are used to bad, while 'Americans' are not.

'America' is a nation of treatlerites unused to sacrifice while Iranians mourn Ibn Hussein like he just died, not to mention Khamenei, who did just die. There are millions of Iranians and Iraqis in the streets now, ready to ride. However, on the other side, if gas prices go too high, 'Americans' (as much as these least revolutionary people are capable) will riot. The 'American' administration knows this, but they haven't had an original thought in decades, they're effectively on autopilot. Any incoming President can choose where the bombs will go, but the bombs must fly. What's an Empire if it's not imperializing? Like a great white shark, the degenerate White Empire has to move forward or die. Ha ha, that all rhymed.

But this is not the past, when 'America' could fight its own wars, and when its military technology was the horror of the world. Iran is not Iraq and 2026 is not 2003. Now it's 'America's' military that's depleted and has no place to hide. Their best radars have been blown into the ground, their best planes have been blown out of the sky, they've been periodically pulling soldiers out of the freezer and lying about how and when they died. Unlike Iraq, where 'America' could mass men and matériel in the open, now all their base belong to us. Iran has more men, better technology, air superiority, and global support. Meanwhile 'America's' overweight men and overwrought matériel are out of place and out of date. We're in the age of underground cities and unmanned missiles and 'America' is trying to park manned aircraft in the open, use them as floating artillery pieces, and wondering why everything is broken. OK Boomer. Explosions.

As the rules of RISK go, tie goes to a defender, and Iran has tied a Gordian Knot around the Strait of Hormuz. It's not just fire/speedboat control over the Strait, as Esfandyar Batmanghelidj says, "the issue at hand isn't really Iran's ability to dominate a small stretch of water, but rather Iran's ability to disrupt or damage any systemically important structure, facility, or complex in the region with weapons systems that cannot be degraded through anything less than a full-blown invasion. Simply as a function of military capabilities and the target landscape, there are tens, if not hundreds, of chokepoints in the Gulf that Iran can hit." Of course, Alexander did cut the Gordian Knot with brute force to rule Asia and whatnot, but Trump is no Alexander leading from the front, he's just a bigot with a butter knife taking potshots from afar. Alexander effectively became Persian in the end (to the chagrin of his men) and that's all that's going to happen to the Persian Gulf. Tie goes to the knot.

This is not the Iraq War II, where Iraq was isolated and could easily be subdued. Now 'America' is isolated and subject to economic pressure and death from above. Their stolen land was only spare economic consequences already by China reducing their usage. But now the Chinese teapots are back on and the body-check from physical reality is in the mail. 'America' blew its strategic reserves manipulating the market and their Cushing Reserve is drawing sludge and old boots. They're calling gluttony a glut and not preparing for what's coming. The very real physical shortages cannot be reduced by pricing alone anymore, actual shortages will ensue, something 'Americans' are simple not used to.

Bombing Iran doesn't relieve this pressure. It only increases it because 'America' cannot retake its bases let alone occupy Iran. They're like Xerxes, unable to cross the Hellespont, and whipping the ocean. Again and again, this isn't Iraq, where they could just park in Saudi and Kuwait and drive across. Iran is behind both a moat and a mountain and has air superiority. There's not much 'America'—10,000 kilometers away, mind you—can do about it. This is what former CENTCOM Commander Spuds McKenzie called 'the tyranny of geography' and what the rest of the map calls freedom.

As I said, the first Battle of Hormuz ended and Iran won, if 'America' wants to take it back, they have to fight another one. And here we are, without the martyred even in the ground and the White Empire still wanna be starting something. It seems crazy but the alternative is ending as an Empire. The Great White Empire has to move blood and oil across its gills constantly or sink in the muck. So it's understandable why they're fighting, even if their victory conditions are impossible. If they keep exchanging fire across the Gulf they collapse their own economy, even if Iran doesn't decisively defeat them. But what else are they going to do? Empires stay imperializing until they're done.

Historically speaking, however, this war is a foregone conclusion. 'America' cannot overthrow Iran, you cannot decapitate a body politic that marches, now, on its own. As Bikrum Gill said, Iran has already won the first anti-imperial war, after Vietnam et al won many anti-colonial ones, and the Empire is trying to strike back but literally does not have the energy for it. The more they struggle, the more they choke. The die was really cast decades if not centuries ago. The White Empire cannot stand for anyone to be independent and Iran will not kneel to anyone so here we are. They are caught between Iraq and a hard place. To control the seas, Iran just has to stand their ground, but to retake control, the Empire has to literally move mountains. Godspeed to the Iranians. Death to 'America'.

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