The Iran War Day 4

'Israel' and Iran, in that order, have been trading blows for four days. After getting their leadership decapitated on day one (June 12), Iran grew 10 more heads and they're spitting a hundred rockets each. Here's one day of fighting, sourced almost exclusive from the @FotrosResistancee on Telegram. He's just a young Iranian dude trying to get through his exams while also reporting. I find him reliable and most of it is direct sources and video.

The Order Of Battle

The broad battle lines are that 'Israel' is attacking from within Iran and Iran is attacking via missiles. The broad order of battle is that 'Israel' bombs during the day and Iran bombs at night.

'Israeli' Terrorism

I use the term terrorism here somewhat agnostically. 'Israel' is doing car bombings, street assassinations, and sabotage, what else do you call it? Terrorism is a weapon of the weak, which tells you a lot about 'Israel's' position. 'Israel' cannot just bomb Iran like Gaza, Iran has good enough air defenses. So they've resorted to terrorism from within.

Yesterday, 'Israeli' cells within Iran assassinated intelligence leaders 🕊Mohammad Kazemi, 🕊Hassan Mohaqqeq, and 🕊Mohsen Bagheri, according to the Islamic Revolutionary Guards. 'Israel' also has drones hidden insides cities, deploying from the roofs of houses, according to Senior IRGC general Mohsen Rezaei. Rezaei said:

Most of yesterday's and today's attacks were carried out using micro drones installed in various ways on the roofs of some houses and were remotely activated.

Most of these drones were smuggled a couple of months ago.

Israel is afraid of flying its F-35s inside Iran, so it's forced to launch missiles from above Iraq. They have been able to penetrate inside Iranian skies on the western borders for a very brief amount of time before leaving it again.

There have been street chases in Tehran, bombs to defuse, vehicles to check, houses to search, it's a public security mess. The White Empire (America, 'Israel', same thing) accuses Iran of sponsoring terrorism, but WTF is this? Every accusation is a confession.

The strategy here is to get Iranians to rise up and overthrow the government, installing Shah Pavlova or ISIS, they don't really care, the more chaos the better. This strategy isn't working and never works. These terrorist cells have taken 'Israel' months to prepare and supply and they're getting their cover blown in days. This terrorist campaign is dangerous but wars are not won this way. Iranians are pissed but going about their business, including large gatherings like Eid Ghadir.

'Israel' Conventional Strikes

'Israel' still has conventional strike capability. They hit Mashhad International Airport. They hit “Tehran's Narmak residential neighborhood last night and a 3-story building in the neighborhood was destroyed,” and “A carpet distribution center in Isfahan was attacked by Israel today. Isfahan [is a] “home appliances city.” It’s a center for washing machines, dishwashers, etc.” They also hit “Shahran oil depot and a fuel tank in southern Tehran” and “a Defense Ministry building in Tehran.” This is not an exhaustive list, but it's not exhausting Iranian air defenses yet.

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Shiraz Electronic Industries factory was hit by an Israeli attack. @FotrosResistancee (Telegram)

The problem is that 'Israel' can't just fly over and drop dumb bombs like in Gaza or Lebanon. Iran is A) far and has B) functional air defenses. 'Israel' mostly has to sit outside of Iranian airspace and lob missiles, which is not really their operational model. Their model is being DoorDash for American bombs.

Fotros reports that three F-35s have been shot down but I haven't seen this confirmed. Any time they fly out, they are risking their 42 F-35s, which are their most stealthy planes. Yemen almost shot down F-35s, they're not that stealthy, and their reliability and availability is awful. For each hour of flight time the planes require tens of hours of maintenance and Iran is like three hours away.

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"Another successful surface-to-air interception in the sky of Tehran.Looks like a drone, but could be something else as well."

'Israel' still hitting with missiles and drones, but the scenes over Tehran are nothing like Tel Aviv. Fotros is in Tehran and says, “Israel keeps claiming they have air superiority and have free will to fly above Iran — but that’s not true. In Tehran, there were no sound of jets. I asked friends in Isfahan, Shiraz, Mashad and Ardebil and they confirmed to me that they did not hear any jets.”

Here's a time-lapse of Tehran for over an hour, see for yourself.

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Now let's turn to 'Israel', which is getting turned over.

Iran's Missiles

Iran effectively has no air force. They have adopted a completely different model which is almost all missile/drone based, and they have a lot of those. As you can see, Iran is able to completely overwhelm 'Israeli' missile defenses.

The Military Balance, 2014

'Israel' has (officially) 19 air defence batteries, let's say 25 since America has been stripping other parts of their empire. Let's also say each battery can fire 20 missiles in short order (being very generous here) and ignore the fact that these batteries don't all target the same type of missile. Also assume that to shoot down one incoming missile you need two going up. That gives us 500 air defense missiles, enabling them to shoot down 250 Iranian missiles.

It doesn't matter the quality of the air defenses, quantity is its own quality. Knowing this, Iran is unloading their cheap, old missiles first and getting a two-for-one deal on 'Israel's' expensive stuff. 'Israel' is already worn out and Iran hasn't even started unloading the good shit. America and Europe (see why I call it one White Empire?) have had to cover them, but they don't have infinite quantities of this stuff either. However, you do the napkin math, it isn't good for 'Israel'. You don't have to take my word for it, just look.

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Getting a bit ahead of myself, this if from 16 June, but WTF. Missiles raining down on occupied Palestine

In terms of targets, Iran hit the Weizmann Institute, a scientific establishment where they devise elaborate ways to torture, surveil, and kill Palestinians.

"Weizmann Institute, Israel's most prominent scientific center affiliated with the IDF, was completely destroyed in yesterday's Iranian missile attack on Rehovot"

Below is from earlier days footage, but Tel Aviv is finally getting a taste of its own medicine. Few (reported 250 injuries and 6 deaths) casualties because 'Israelis' have shelters and because Iran has started warning of targets well in advance. But for settlers, this is deeply unsettling.

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Tel Aviv I think

Reports were that Netanyahu's plane was in Greece and he'd fled, but he seems to have popped up to see the “impact site of the missile strike in Bat Yam.”

Settlers in the conscript colony have had to spend every night going back and forth to shelters. And now Netanyahu has locked them in. Planes are allowed to come in, but the same planes must fly back empty. Nobody leaves ('Israeli' source The Marker via Haaretz). As Rorschach said in The Watchmen, however, “I'm not locked in here with you, you're locked in here with me.”

'Israeli' source The Marker via Haaretz

Iran has told (via their Armed Forces Spokesman) the colonizer to leave, but they can't because they're being kept as human shields. As the spokesman said,

We warn "israelis" to stay away from vital areas. Do not allow the criminal regime to use you as human shields. Zionist settlers must leave the occupied territories, as they will not be habitable soon. We possess a comprehensive target list within the zionist entity, and we will target vital points. We targeted military headquarters, decision-making centers, and the residences of zionist leaders and scholars. A strategic mistake will be met with a crushing and devastating response that will make the enemy regret his actions.

'Israel's' Defence Council meets under a literal hospital and they've locked their people in. Every accusation is a confession.

The ‘safe place’ Europeans deported Jews is obviously anything but, they were just turned into a conscript colony near the oil, which can burn for all the White Empire cares, really. America continues to benefit from arms sales and their own oil sales the more fucked up this gets, so 'Israel' continues to get a long leash to bite people, including its own people.

Anyways, back to our regularly nightly programming now, here's Haifa (where 'Israel's' oil is) being hit,

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https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/13883

and a direct hit on Tel Aviv,

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https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/13885

And this is what impact looks like,

Haifa
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Haifa Port burning

And here's how it's being received in Gaza,

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"A rare moment of joy amidst genocide: Gazans in the camps of displacement in the central #Gaza Strip celebrate Iranian missiles launches towards occupied Palestine, as "israelis" learn what it feels like to lose their houses and be trapped under rubble.They sing a Hezbollah-associated song: "Strike, while the wind howls! Bless you, O guardian of the home. And if the wind does not drive them back, let them taste fire!"" (RNN)

and Lebanon,

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Even within the White Empire, nobody is on 'Israel's' side, after all the bombing they've done and are still doing to Palestine, nobody is on the occupations side, except politicians paid to be, who immediately get yelled at by their constituents.

The big risk, of course, (and why Iran didn't do this sooner) is that 'Israel' has nukes and is obviously just dying to use them. 'Israel' has done every other sort of evil gleefully, there's no red lines here. Iran has to excise 'Israel' without getting nuked, which is a very delicate operation. But 'Israel' has made this an existential issue for Iran and brought the battle upon themselves. Now it is well and truly joined, and this is just day four of many. Godspeed to the Resistance. God-damn 'Israel' and the White Empire entirely.


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