Ramadan War: Falling Planes
US planes are starting to ‘fall out of the sky.’ Why? The tactics are not the point, Iran's strategy is why. Like Haaland pushing the 'Israeli' football team into their own goal, American planes both shouldn't be there and are falling all over the place. This is not just because America is dumb (though they are dumb), but because Iran is smart and lies in wait. From Kuwait, to Iraq, to Iran, they allow no safe airspace. Nor can the invaders land anywhere. From Bahrain, to UAE, to Saudi, to Jordan, all their bases are in flames. None of this just happened. Iran has a strategy in place. Just behold the war planes being erased.
We have three F-15s down in Kuwait and now a KC-135 down in Iraq, and those are just admitted kills. We'll go by CENTCOM's own admissions for now because they're telling. I will also call them FENTCOM, because it's funny.
He Said

When the planes went down over Kuwait, FENTCOM said, “During active combat—that included attacks from Iranian aircraft, ballistic missiles, and drones — the U.S. Air Force fighter jets were mistakenly shot down by Kuwaiti air defenses.” Going just by FENTCOM's admissions, this sounds like the first Haaland goal above, just shoving the ball in using the defender.
A goal is a goal and Haaland celebrated.

The next press release is more Zen-like (Haaland's celebration is a meditation pose). It says, “Two aircraft were involved in the incident. One of the aircraft went down in western Iraq, and the second landed safely. This was not due to hostile fire or friendly fire.” What is the sound of an empty vessel clanging? I think we all get the picture here.
This seems more like Haaland's next goal. A free header.
We Said
Now let's cover what the Resistance says. Bear in mind that the Resistance has never lied to me and the Empire has always lied to me, even when they're telling the truth. Regarding the F-15s, the Khatam al-Anbia (Iranian military) spokesman said:
The Iranian air defense system targeted and shot down an F-15 fighter jet belonging to the American aggression, which was planning to infiltrate the country. The plane crashed in Kuwait due to the proximity of the accident site to its borders
This was reported on Iranian state TV (IRIB) as well.
Then, regarding the KC-135s (via the indispensible @FotrosResistancee, especially since Middle East Spectator got arrested), “Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya (Armed Forces) says the US Army KC-135 refueling aircraft was targeted and destroyed by resistance forces in western Iraq. All crew members were killed.” Meanwhile the Resistance in Iraq claimed the winging of the other plane, saying,
In defense of our country's sovereignty and its airspace, which is being violated by the occupation forces' aircraft, the fighters of the Islamic Resistance in Iraq targeted, with appropriate weapons during the last twenty-four hours, a second KC-135 aircraft belonging to the American occupation in western Iraq. Its crew was able to escape with it after it was hit, and it made an emergency landing at one of the enemy's airports.
Even the thoroughly Ziofried CBS reported that the KC-135s were hit, before they deleted the tweet.

Online, people immediately speculated that the tankers were hit by a loitering drone, an Iranian Karrar 358 or 359 (usually just called a 358/359).

Via Thomas Keith
Martyr Hajizadeh described the 358/359 as “a drone that can perform defensive operations. This innovation was first developed in Iran, this hadn't been done anywhere else before. The first Iranian innovation, it was done here.”
“You mean the 358 missile?” his interviewer asked.
Hajizadeh replied, “Yeah, that's one model, the 358 model. There are many models. Most of them you guys don't even know about [laughing]. Yes, it's happened. And this path continues.”
Hajizadeh was martyred in 2025 and General Soleimani, who more than anyone set up the resistance networks abroad, was martyred in 2020, but the assassinators don't get it. As Bobby Sands said, they tried to bury us, but we were seeds. Their path continues. Very often (like the Yassin-105, or the Al-Qassam Brigades), missiles or formations that torment the occupier are named after people they thought they killed.
What everyone is saying—which I can't verify, it just happened today—is that the American KC-135s got hit by Iranian 358/359s and got winged and died. This is an (alleged) image of the surviving plane, and the other one is acknowledged as downed by everybody.


This is a big deal, for reasons we explain. If Iraqi airspace isn't safe, then America is running out of breathing space.
Other ‘Incidents’
Besides aircraft, America's aircraft carriers are also having problems. The US 5th Fleet, which has no base anymore since Bahrain is burnt toast, reported “a fire that originated in the ship's main laundry spaces. The cause of the fire was not combat-related and is contained.” This was in the USS Gerald Ford.

This ship is already known as the USS Gerald Fart because of daily toilet problems, and now the laundry room has also joined Hamas. Please note that ‘non-life-threatening injuries’ is bad, those two sailors won't be able to threaten children's lives for a while now.
At the same time, Iran (via Fotros) has reported that the USS Abraham Lincoln was swarmed and hit and is retreating.
The IRGC says it targeted & struck the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier with missiles and drones, and is apparently retreating. According to CBS, the aircraft carrier tried to shoot at a IRGC vessel nearby but missed several times, forcing it to send a helicopter towards it. Situation remains largely vague what truly happened, we’ll have to wait for more updates.
I will repeat that America has already retreated from all of its bases in the Persian Gulf and is repeating from the Arabian ones as well. This is turning into a rout, however you want to spin it. America is trying to spin this as all own goals because their racism won't let them admit it, but they do realize that's worse, isn't it?
In another loss that goes unreported, Ali Larijani has said that American soldiers have been captured, and Secretary of State Narco Rubio has as much as admitted it, saying they won't play ‘hostage’ games. Those POSs are likely POWs, but nobody wants to quite say it.
Nothing Is Incidental

If Ødegaard puts in a pass and Haaland bundles both defender and ball into the goal, their team did that, regardless of how retarded the 'Israelis' look. They set up all the conditions for the other team to fall on their ass. This is what is happening in and around Iran. The tactics are fascinating, but not the point. As I've described (citing another European, what's wrong with me), Iran has achieved a strategic victory. As the Quran said,
Have you not seen how your Lord dealt with the people of the elephant? Did He not foil their strategy and send against them flocks of birds, which pelted them with clay stones? Thus He made them like stubble cropped by cattle? (105)
Not coincidentally this is the name of Hezbollah's latest aerial assault on 'Israel', ‘the chewed-up straw.’ But I'm getting ahead of myself. Let's briefly describe Iran's strategy before I have to pick up my kids.
A2/AD
There's a concept called A2/AD which Western war planners fear. It means Anti-Access/Area Denial. It means a ‘weaker’ state (they stay racist) could deny the Empire access to their country (long-distance) and could deny their operations over the country (short-distance). Iran seems to have achieved both of those things in different ways.
Anti-Access
Over longish-distances, Iran has completely blown up American bases in Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, and Iraq. They are just now finishing the job in Saudi Arabia and Jordan. Then there's nothing left but 'Israel', where they seem to be using the civilian airport, and Cyprus, both of which will get their turn. In the end, it doesn't matter how many planes the Empire has if they have no place to land them.
America is trying to get around this problem in two ways. With aircraft carriers and refuelling planes. But Iran has an anti-access plans for these as well.
With aircraft carriers Iran could just wait, these crews are already over-extended and their ships undermaintained, and they have to refill VLS (vertical launch missiles) in friendly ports, of which none are nearby available. But Iran is not just waiting, they are harrying these carriers until they go further (and less usefully) away.
With refuelling planes you can extend the flight range of fighter planes, but these refuelers are not stealthy and are big, fat flammable targets. America thought they were avoiding this by flying high (above MANPAD range) but since Iran and if wider resistance has loitering drones (358/359), that all changes.
Furthermore, both of these workarounds are workaround and do not compare to having land in any meaningful way. Aircraft carriers and refuelers are incredibly expensive, are fat targets in themselves, and will simply break down if used in this way. If and when they do, this will be cited to the usual ‘natural causes’ by FENTCOM, but it's not, this is the manifestation of Iran's successful Anti-Access strategy.
Area-Denial

Area-Denial means that America can't safely overfly Iran, which they can't. If you look at their own operational maps, you can see that they're just parking at the border and lobbing bombs across, using expensive fighter jets as dumb self-propelled artillery (shitty tanks). You can also see that they're not striking eastern Iran at all, where Iran surely has reserves.
I think FENTCOM knew that Iran had loitering munitions like the 358 (they, presumably, have Twitter too) and were staying away. However, they didn't know that Iraq had such munitions too, which is why you see them losing their refueler.
We can obviously see that Iran's air defenses are not good enough to defend every school and hospital, as America is targeting, but they are good enough to defend their air defenses and offensive capability, which is really the point of war. Clausewitz said, “the aim of warfare is to disarm the enemy,” which in modern terms means destroying their A2/AD capability. Which America cannot do. And their situation is getting worse, not better.
Strategic Impact
The biggest strategic factor in this war is that Iran is in Iran whereas America is invading another continent. It doesn't matter how many aircraft carriers you have if the enemy has a giant everything carrier called land. It doesn't matter how many fighter jets you have if they have nowhere to land. And it doesn't matter how many allies you have if they're all burning. All of these military assets become liabilities real quick, as we see happening.

As you can see from FENTCOM's own map above, which I'll reproduce, the White Empire (America, 'Israel', and other colonizers) can bruise Iran but not break it. Iran has good enough Area-Denial over Iran, and now a surprising (not to them) Anti-Access shield over Iraq. Without access through Iraq, occupied bases in Cyprus or even Romania are useless. And their Saudi/Jordan bases are too close and already going up in smoke. America does not actually have its own bases in 'Israel', and they have their own problems.
Where does America go on this map? They have to go off the map, to Diego Garcia, which is still in range of Yemen and probably Iran. Or retreat to Europe which stretches their refuelling to the limit. The one wild-card they have left is the mutual defense pact between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, but that's World War III even for them, with wildly unpredictable results. What's even happening here? This is not a retreat, it's a rout.
People act like Iran is doing new, surprising things but these are simply well-laid plans reaching their logical result. Perhaps the only surprising thing is how dumb the Empire was to walk into this war at all, but at one level they believed their own propaganda and on another they knew this was their last chance before Iran's preparations became insurmountable. So here we are. A retreat turned into a rout. As my main news source for the region, the Quran, says,
Devote yourselves to God, not associating any partners with Him. Whoever associates anything with God is like one who falls from heaven and is snatched by the birds or carried away by the wind to a distant place.
For the White Empire that worships only money, power, and violence this should be their catechism. They are surely caught in it now.