How will 'Israel' end? Hamas founder Sheikh Yassin said it would end by 2027 and I believe him, but how, exactly? Former 'Israeli' Alon Mizrahi has one theory (in two parts).

Mizrahi predicted that 'Israel' would hit Iran, he predicts they'll hit again, then get oofed in the IOF, and lose control of Palestine to a third intifada from within. Mizrahi said, “This is an actual end of Israel or end of days for Israel scenario. And this may sound very fictional at the moment. But just consider what we've been through in the last couple of years.” Considering that, yeah, why not? Mizrahi offers a how to match Yassin's when.

Will 'Israel' Start Iran War 2?

First off, I didn't think 'Israel' would attack Iran because it's stupid. I still can't believe that they'd attack again because it's even more stupid. I'm obviously applying logic to something illogical and more psychological. Mizrahi was right about that so he may be right about this.

Mizrahi is a recovering 'Israeli' who has deeper perspective on 'Israeli' psychology, having been raised in the belly of the beast. Looking at 'Israel' now, he's says they're the most deranged they've ever been. He said, “I've never seen Israel so deeply and utterly drowned in propaganda the way it is now. I look at Israeli media and the country is almost in ecstasy.” 'Israel' has never taken a beating like the Iran War, and they're responding by just not taking it. Their media and military seem to be psyching themselves into thinking they won that battle, and propagandizing their own people for ‘more winning’.

Analyzing the 'Israeli' political psyche, Mizrahi says that 'Israeli' politics is rife with internal chaos and must sow external chaos to breathe. Netanyahu needs to create national problems to overshadow his legal problems, yes, but 'Israel' itself has no coherent governing platform beyond oppressing other people. That's all that unifies them, and without an enemy without, they are their own worst enemy within.

According to Mizrahi, roughly 20% of the polity is Palestinian, and excluded from any potential government. 10-15% are ultra-orthodox Jews, who exclude themselves from the military. This leaves say 80% in the middle who also hate each other and are only united by their greater hatreds without. Like a Great White Shark, the great white nope has to keep moving forward, constantly pouring blood over its gills to breathe. 'Israel' cannot sit still, without facing an existential crisis within. I don't know 'Israeli' politics, but that's the theory.

Hence 'Israel', thinking that it won the first Iran War, will inevitably start a second Iran War because why the hell not? The Great Satan got two Iraq wars, why shouldn't the Lesser Satan get two also?

What Will Happen In Iran War 2?

The truth is that 'Israel' actually got clobbered in what Trump calls the 12-Day War, with massive amounts of documented damage and even more military damage under censorship. For the first time in 'Israel's' life, used as they are to thrashing everyone in the neighborhood, they took a beating. This is a map Iran released, and they were able to hit 'Israel' everywhere, including military command right in the middle of Tel Aviv.

This was not even Iran fully flexing. Iran's IRGC General Mohsen Rezaei said, “We have used less than 30% of our military capabilities. Part of the reason we are gradually escalating the war is to get people out of the area.” Rezaei also said, “Any ceasefire that is implemented now will lead to renewed war. We must not allow the enemy, which is currently in a weak position, to revive itself with a ceasefire,” and yet they did accept a ceasefire and must at least agree with Mizrahi's assertion that this ain't over.

In his interview (with the famous Sahar Emami I think) Rezaei asserts two interesting things. One is that (this is all shitty autotranslate) “after two months they will take it again and carry out another attack” and “'Israel' had two goals, one was to eliminate the command and control system over the military forces and to create chaos in the country and topple the regime in this mess.” This is interesting because it broadly dovetails with what Mizrahi is saying will happen to 'Israel'. What goes around comes around, as they say.

Israel's' plan for undoing Iran may be their own undoing. Whereas 'Israel' tried to destabilize Iran with a few sleeper terrorist cells, 20% of 'Israel' proper's population hates them and they are completely outnumbered in the West Bank, obviously Gaza, and nearly matched in Jerusalem. But we'll get to this.

When it comes to fighting Iran, which is roughly 1,500 km away, Iran has already established that it has air superiority over 'Israel'. The Iron Dome (which I use to refer to the whole multipart system) doesn't work. Iran can penetrate those three plus layers of air defense and probably 10 plus across the occupied Middle East (including NATO ships). No, not every missile hits, but 'Israel' pays for each interception, throwing Ferraris at Toyotas, effectively. Iran knows this and has been consciously bleeding 'Israel's' defenses while holding back the good shit judiciously. Iran was able to simply overload the system with cheap, plentiful missiles, map the defenses, and then penetrate with hypersonics and heavy ordnance at will.

Mizrahi says that Iran has enough missiles to end 'Israel' in one day, but that they must pace themselves to keep nuclear annihilation at bay. They have to boil the frog slowly, which they've been doing with True Promise I, II, and now III. I won't discuss the nuclear option at length, but Mizrahi says it would take dozens of nukes to take out a country as big as Iran, and that mutually assured destruction exists because Iran could quickly construct at least a simple nuclear bomb in response.

I also won't discuss the American option much either, because America's own bases are hopelessly exposed along the Persian Gulf and they retreated from a fight with Yemen already. America ultimately won't save 'Israel' any more than they helped Ukraine. Every proxy should know this by now, America will bleed from you, but they won't bleed for you. Jews are just the conscript colony thrown there to divide the Semites as Ukraine is there to divide Slavs and Taiwan to divide China. They don't give a fundamental fuck about any of these people and won't put boots on the ground for them. America is a dying empire throwing proxies in front of them to cover their long retreat. 'Israel' is its most favored proxy, yes, but still a proxy at the end of the day. Jews are really testing if they have the final white privilege—committing genocide and getting away with it—and no, they don't have it, as we'll see.

Anyways, Mizrahi's thesis is that 'Israel' will hit Iran again, and take another beating, knocking the teeth loose from the IOF entirely. Mizrahi says,

The next phase of this war is going to be much more devastating for Israel. It is going to be so devastating, it's going to disrupt the country completely. It's going to bring the country to a standstill. It's going to make it impossible for the IDF to command its divisions and battalions. Because every command center is going to be hit in a devastating, destructive way. With the big missiles, not the small missiles that we have seen mostly this far. And many Israelis are going to remain in the dark. Many neighborhoods are going to be destroyed. Many Israelis are not going to have internet or cellular communication. Some media channels and outlets will cease to exist because they are not built or something like this. And basically Israel will cease to function as a country.

And once Iran achieves this, it will stop its campaign. Because Iran's campaign is not meant to kill great numbers of Israelis. This is not their intention. Their intention is political, and of course military. It is to stop Israel, to destabilize, to disrupt, and to destroy Israel as a country. Okay, not to do an Israeli Holocaust. This is not their intention. And again, wisely, they don't want to risk a nuclear reaction. They want to win the war, they want to destroy Israel.

This final beating, Mizrahi says, will be defeating. But the coup de grâce will not come from Iran, but from Palestinians themselves.

Intifada 3

Mizrahi's says that the IOF is actually stretched very thin and its command and control is quite vulnerable. So that when Iran hits its command and control in the center (around Tel Aviv) it loses control of the periphery. He points to the geography behind this destiny, and we can look at a demographic map to see.

The point of Jewish settlements was to present a fait accompli, to lock in Palestinians with their colonizers, but at some point, as Rorschach said in Watchmen, “I'm not locked in here with you, you're locked in here with me.”

WTF are they doing in Jerusalem for example, effectively surrounded by hostile natives?

Or deep in the West Bank itself, in isolated settlements, maintained by checkpoints? These are not defensible positions.

What Mizrahi says is, “It's going to be a [Palestinian] village of 10,000 people surrounded by two or three settlements with 200, 300 or 50 people and one or two military posts with 10 or 15 soldiers in each of them. And this constellation is what suffocates that village because this is the ratio of population in the West Bank. So now the Palestinians in that village and all those villages will realize that the settlers and the soldiers are basically alone and they cannot defend themselves and they cannot call for reinforcements. And when an intifada breaks under these conditions, this is going to be a major, major, major event. This is going to be a major event.”

And make no mistake, as Frantz Fanon said, “decolonization is always a violent event… In its bare reality, decolonization reeks of red-hot cannonballs and bloody knives.” Mizrahi acknowledges this when he says, “This is how I predict 'Israel' will end. Through large scale and extremely violent intifada.”

So the regime change 'Israel' tried to inflict on Iran UNO Reverses on them. They sow the wind and reap the whirlwind. Or as the kids say, I am rubber you are glue, what you say bounces off me and sticks to you.

Possible Critiques

I don't agree with Mizrahi about everything, but mashallah, this means I learn from him. He was going on about 'Israel' striking Iran from the beginning and I didn't believe it, but he was right in the end. And I think he's right that it hasn't ended. Iran also seems to concur that 'Israel' will hit again, the only question is when. General Rezaei said two months (ie around September). This brings us to a possible October for a third intifada, ie a “a big, huge October 7th” as Mizrahi says. The coup de grace to match the coup of then.

The only critiques I might offer of Mizrahi's thesis are that A) 'Israel's' command and control may not fall so easily, B) Ben Gvir has already armed isolated settlers to the teeth C) Hezbollah's own North is exposed and C) craven Turkey and Egypt may play spoiler. Germany only fell when the USSR physically took Berlin, and neither Iran nor Yemen can physically march to Jerusalem. Other parties may swoop in during the chaos. From the frying pan to the fire, from the occupation to the Ottomans. Mizrahi also discounts the nuclear option and direct American intervention, but those are still wild cards which can get played during wild times. The American and 'Israeli' eschatalogic is to bring the end times on, and they may just yet. But broadly I think Mizrahi offers a coherent theory. A how to the when that was predicted back then.

In 1999, Sheikh Yassin (of Hamas) said “I say that Israel will be gone in the first quarter of the next [21st] century, inshallah. To be precise, I say that by 2027, there will be no Israel,” and we are right on schedule for when. The how is inchoate, but Mizrahi has a coherent prediction for the beginning of the end. An attack on Iran, an attack from Iran, and then collapse from within. Will it happen? Will it happen like this? I bloody hope so, but time (hopefully not end times, I'm not ready) will tell.

If you've read this far, you must have another two hours on your hands, watch/read Mizrahi's two part series, How Israel Ends I and II. There's a lot more context that I'm leaving out.